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235869

How the conjunction fallacy is tied to probabilistic confirmation

some remarks on Schupbach (2009)

Katya TentoriVincenzo Crupi

pp. 3-12

Abstract

Crupi et al. (Think Reason 14:182–199, 2008) have recently advocated and partially worked out an account of the conjunction fallacy phenomenon based on the Bayesian notion of confirmation. In response, Schupbach (2009) presented a critical discussion as following from some novel experimental results. After providing a brief restatement and clarification of the meaning and scope of our original proposal, we will outline Schupbach’s results and discuss his interpretation thereof arguing that they do not actually undermine our point of view if properly construed. Finally, we will foster such a claim by means of some novel data.

Publication details

Published in:

Peijnenburg Jeanne, Fitelson Branden, Douven Igor (2012) Probability, confirmation and fallacies. Synthese 184 (1).

Pages: 3-12

DOI: 10.1007/s11229-009-9701-y

Full citation:

Tentori Katya, Crupi Vincenzo (2012) „How the conjunction fallacy is tied to probabilistic confirmation: some remarks on Schupbach (2009)“. Synthese 184 (1), 3–12.