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235039

Lost memories and useless coins

revisiting the absentminded driver

Wolfgang Schwarz

pp. 3011-3036

Abstract

The puzzle of the absentminded driver combines an unstable decision problem with a version of the Sleeping Beauty problem. Its analysis depends on the choice between “halfing” and “thirding” as well as that between “evidential” and “causal” decision theory. I show that all four combinations lead to interestingly different solutions, and draw some general lessons about the formulation of causal decision theory, the interpretation of mixed strategies and the connection between rational credence and objective chance.

Publication details

Published in:

Balcerak Jackson Magdalena (2015) The roles of experience in a priori knowledge. Synthese 192 (9).

Pages: 3011-3036

DOI: 10.1007/s11229-015-0699-z

Full citation:

Schwarz Wolfgang (2015) „Lost memories and useless coins: revisiting the absentminded driver“. Synthese 192 (9), 3011–3036.